
Seismic prediction method for pore pressure of shale gas formation based on rock physics model
SHI Xuewen, WANG Chang, ZHANG Dongjun, FENG Yanwen, WANG Qunwu, ZENG Yongjian
Marine Origin Petroleum Geology ›› 2025, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1) : 89-96.
Seismic prediction method for pore pressure of shale gas formation based on rock physics model
Seismic prediction of formation pressure is of great significance to the evaluation of powerful gas-producing areas and exploration and development of shale oil and gas reservoirs. The study area of western Chongqing is a favorable area for exploration and development of deep shale gas. The shale gas resources in the area are abundant, and formation overpressure is common in the reservoirs. However, due to complex geological conditions, it is difficult to accurately obtain the formation compaction background trend while using conventional formation pressure seismic prediction methods, making it difficult to properly solve the seismic prediction of formation pressure. Usually, the formation compaction background trend is obtained directly through well trend fitting. The established formation compaction background often has large errors, resulting in inaccurate formation pressure prediction. Therefore, this paper constructs the formation compaction background trend through actual logging analysis, based on rock physics theory and rock physics model, which effectively improves the modeling accuracy of formation compaction background trend. By substituting the normal compaction background trend and measured parameters constructed by petrophysical modeling into the bulk modulus equation, the seismic prediction of formation pressure of the study area of western Chongqing in the Sichuan Basin is achieved, and good application results are achieved. By comparing with the actual drilling measured results, it is found that the predicted formation pressure parameters are consistent with the measured formation pressure parameters of multiple wells, indicating the applicability and accuracy of the method.
deep strata / shale gas / compaction background trend / rock physics modeling / formation pressure / seismic prediction
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<p> Overpressure in tectonically stable regions of shale gas reservoirs is primarily caused by hydrocarbon generation.Conventional undercompaction-based methods are not applicable in these regions.Based on the Clay-Plus-Silt (CPS) model,along with the hydrocarbon effect,a normal compaction trend (NCT) was constructed using the rock physics modeling approach.The NCT was further combined with Eaton's equation to form a new pressure prediction model for shale reservoirs.This model can better reflect the influence of lithological change on normal compaction velocity with fewer measured pressure data.Combining the normal compaction velocity obtained by forward modeling,using the proposed model,with high-precision poststack impedance inversion,a seismic overpressure prediction workflow for shale gas reservoirs was constructed.Application results of this model from the Sichuan basin of China indicate its superiority in predicting predrill pore pressure.</p>
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